NZD/USD: A move below 0.6045 is possible – UOB Group

Underlying tone has softened; NZD is likely to edge lower but is unlikely to break below 0.6045. Current price movements in NZD are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 0.6045 and 0.6145, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

NZD/USD eyes a test of 0.6045

24-HOUR VIEW: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘further range trading seems likely, but the slightly softened underlying tone suggests a lower range of 0.6070/0.6115.’ Our view was not wrong, as NZD traded between 0.6072 and 0.6112, closing on a soft note at 0.6075. The underlying tone has softened further. Today, NZD is likely to edge lower, but any decline is unlikely to break below 0.6045 (there is another support level at 0.6060). Resistance is at 0.6090; a breach of 0.6105 would mean that the current mild downward pressure has eased.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our update from last Friday (12 Jul, spot at 0.6090) still stands. As highlighted, the current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 0.6045 and 0.6155.”